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Cake day: December 23rd, 2024

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  • Hardly. Usually the process goes like this:

    African Nation - has natural resource and has no way to get it out of the ground.

    Foreign company that does this all the time: Yo, we’ll literally pay you to let us dig up this stuff.

    Regime: Yes, I was paid, perfect. Thanks. And we’ll charge you what seems like tons of money also.

    10 years later

    New Regime: Hm…that’s an awfully nice mine you have there. We’ve increased taxes on it 400 times and you are still not closing. It means there’s too much money to be had! So we will take it and do the mining ourselves! How hard could it be?!

    New regime nationalizes mine

    3 months later

    New Regime: Sadly, we must now close the mine and send everyone with jobs home because my drunk cousin is not a good mine director, and all the things broke and we didn’t know you had to order more spare parts.

    New Regime places FOR SALE sign on mine and waits for another foreign company to start the cycle over again.













  • The board of every chamber is required to include someone from the embassy…

    But I see you need something more…how do we say? Fulfilling. Yes… Something more…yes…

    I beseach you to search the interwebs for the Commerce Department Gold Key Service. Wherein a company pays to have government staff from the Commerce Department’s Foreign Commercial Service, to literally shill for anyone that ponies up the cash, and organize a matchmaking service to promote the company in several small meetings.

    Not enough for a distinguished gentleperson as yourself? But of course, my friend. But of course. I see you demand more.

    I present to you, the most, ah- exquisite match to what you want, the FCS Single Company Promotion. A festive event in which Federal employees host the event of the company’s choosing to “promote awareness” of the company. A conference? Sure. A fun luncheon presentation? Yes, of course. Or, perhaps a delightful cocktail party! Numerous of which I have personally attended.

    Seriously though, this happens all the time.





  • Gotcha, sorry I thought you meant in a sort of a more large-scale coordinated way with the authoritarians.

    The easiest way for China to take Taiwan back is to wait for something complicated to occupy the military and WH, even only at the very top leadership level. A protracted and undeniable scandal, another major shake-up while the boss is out of town, or the end result of all this internal military use for law enforcement that seems to want to end posse comitatus within I think 80-ish days at this point, are all options. Spin up the machine to catch it’s own tail and the response elsewhere will be too little and too late because of the more hierarchical nature of decison-making now. Steve Bannon’s own “flood the zone with shit” tactic, inspired by Tsun Tzu.

    Chip fab won’t matter because nothing else logical has mattered so far. Why jump straight to a trade war with all your largest trading partners without even preparing for it? Foolishness and ego. Same same here as well.


  • You’re correct, however, keep in mind that authoritarians have fragile egos and are often focused locally, often on how to further subjugate their populations and garner favor. That usually means conflicts like insurgency or cross-border attacks like Russia into Ukraine (x2), Russia into Georgia, US into Mexico/Canada, India and Pakistan fighting over Cashmere, PRC and Taiwan, Serbia and Kosovo, Kenya/Somalia/Somalil and, Uganda and eastern DRC, etc. etc.

    Boomer pissing contest fantasies of China and the US duking it out in the Pacific are foolish as neither wants to risk direct conflict with no tangible gains expected. It’s a guarantee of either outright loss or maaaaybe a Pyrrhic victory of you already control your media. No landing party flotilla will land in Los Angeles or Hong Kong. The US only stands to lose.