

The big question on security guarantees is how to enforce them. Ukraine already has security guarantees from US, UK and Russia, but look what happened. Nobody cares.
The promising part about this proposal is, that it proposes a tripwire force, but is that sufficient?


Sweden’s current rate of conscription is very low: about 4% of age group. Their fieldable military size is about 80k people.
For comparison, Finland has a field army size of about 300k people and an additional 650k trained men in reserve. We have bunkers for 4 million people, 1500 artillery pieces and 900k assault rifles. 25 000 people spent 140 000 days in voluntary defence training last year. That’s not including mandatory trainings. That’s nearly the full size of the Swedish reserve, in a country half the size.
Sweden has a lot of naval and air power, but Finland is prepared for a large scale land invasion and this is what we think about when asked about military preparedness.
With this said, Sweden’s and Finland’s militaries are complementary and serve different purposes. We have the 1000 km land border, and they need to worry about keeping supplies coming by securing air and sea, which I’m sure they will, if need be.